Why I’d Be Worried Sick if I Owned BCE (TSX:BCE) Stock

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As of writing, BCE trades at roughly $59.50 per share, a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of approximately 16.9, whereas the significant telecom is anticipated to boost its earnings per share by only about 4% each year during the next three to five years.
Stock #1 is a family name — a one-time TSX blue chip which also many investors have left sitting idly in their accounts, trusting the firm’s prospects will improve (especially after one more government bailout).
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Stress and worry around the clock
That will cause reasonable returns of approximately 9-11percent per year during the next three to four years under a base-case scenario.
This is twice the yield that BCE provides at the moment. That is, investors can sell today to receive two years’ worth of volatility, protect their funds, and return into the slow-growing stock (if they wish) in a lower price.
Only one ticking time bomb on your portfolio can set you back months — or years — as it comes to attaining your financial targets. There is nothing worse than seeing your hard-earned nest egg dwindle!

Why I’d be worried sick when I owned BCE

From a completely totally free cash flow standpoint, Telus’s payoff is not as safe than BCE’s.
BCE’s dividend appears safe, but traders should think hard whether it’s necessary to possess it. Right now, the risk/reward ratio isn’t on investors’ side since the stock is trading at a high multiple.

Stay hungry. Stay Foolish.
For the year, the Telus created more than $4 billion of operating cash flow, of which approximately 71 percent was utilized for capital spending. Then, $43 million of cash still remained.

Still, our analysts accelerate this company a firm SELL.

The below-average growth will cause fairly low yields — in my estimation, unacceptable returns. Specifically, I am imagining a scenario where BCE stock will experience a reversion to the expression. If this is so, we can observe the inventory fall quickly to the 53 level over the next 12 weeks — a drawdown of approximately 10.8%.

It’s pretty standard for telecoms to have a lot of debt.
You see, BCE has been a favorite stock for earnings investors, particularly neighbors, for its stable dividend, which appears to increase just like clockwork. It has increased its dividend every year as 2010.

BCE was blue-chip inventory, but in the moment, the company was going through a potential privatization (since the stock was investing thus cheaply) In the end, the privatization trade was dropped. Since then, the telecom continues to be diligent in increasing dividends.

For the year, the telecom leader generated more than $7.3 billion of operating cash flow, of which roughly 54 percent was used for capital spending. The company then used about 83% of the $3.4 billion free cash flow to pay dividends out. After that, $585 million of money still stayed. I suppose shareholders find comfort in knowing that BCE’s dividend appears secure.
Looking back in history, it looks like the Canadian telecom leader dropped its dividend by half in 2008. Investors might think that the previous recession was that the reason behind its dividend reduction. But it was not.
Telus does not seem as bad from a valuation standpoint. As of writing, it trades at about $47.80 per share, a pretty reasonable P/E of approximately 16.5, whereas the huge telecom is estimated to improve its earnings per share by about 7.5percent per year during the next three to five decades.
That’s why The Motley Fool Canada’s analyst group has assembled this FREE investor brief, including the titles and tickers of 3 TSX stocks they believe are put to LOSE you money.

With below-average growth, BCE is defined to underperform over the next 12-24 months. In actuality, it may cause negative returns if shareholders aren’t careful.

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  7. Expiration: March 21, 2019
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